Midwest weather outlook

(Freese Notis) -- Our "daily look" at "who got what and how much" with regards to rainfall in the Corn Belt shows that the heaviest totals since yesterday morning have been recorded in a strip from southeastern South Dakota southeastward through southeastern Iowa and northeastern Missouri, with northeastern Kansas being another area seeing locally heavy totals.

There were a handful of counties in Kansas and southeastern Iowa that were under flash flood warnings early on this Friday. Considerable rain was still falling in eastern Kansas early today, with scattered rains in southern Minnesota, northern Iowa, southeastern Iowa, and western Illinois.

A cold front will be advancing southeastern through the Corn Belt over the next 36 hours, and once it moves through we will see rainfall chances end for a while. Until it does though, roughly the eastern 75% of the Corn Belt will be under the threat of severe weather for today, with southern and eastern parts of the region still under the gun for tomorrow. The same areas that have the severe weather threat are the areas that have the best potential for locally heavy rains.

Welcome dry weather is forecast for the Midwest for Sunday and that should last through at least Wednesday of next week. Odds appear high that we will see another storm system working through for later next week, with the models in some disagreement on timing (some want to start the rains on July 3, others hold off until the July 4th holiday) and on the area to be favored for the rain (though they agree that whoever gets that rain in the end should see pretty decent totals).

Heat remains out of the forecast picture for the Midwest heading into the opening days of July. In fact, cooler-than-normal temperatures will certainly be the main feature for this weekend and into Tuesday or even Wednesday of next week. Beyond that we should see temperatures normalize, but heat that is going to be plaguing especially the Pacific Northwest over the next one to two weeks does not currently show any sign of moving eastward on a sustained basis.