US Midwest Weather Outlook

Freese Notis -- Rainfall was not an uncommon sight in the Midwest over the weekend, but at least we did not see the "inundating" rains in the heart of the Corn Belt of the type that have been so common throughout this spring. It was southern and eastern Indiana and much of Ohio that saw the heaviest rains since Friday morning, with amounts there commonly more than an inch and some places got over two inches. Northern and northwestern Iowa saw very limited rain over the weekend, which is good news for the Des Moines, Cedar, and Iowa Rivers as that is the area where those river systems start to drain from.

All in all, our call that the worst of the flash-flooding problems for the heart of the Midwest would end late last week was a good one, and we still expect that most major river flooding in the Midwest will reach its peak this week as well (with the Mississippi River probably starting to get most of the focus in the next few days).

The bulk of the Midwest is completely dry for today through Wednesday, with any significant rain confined to western and southwestern fringes of the region. That rain will be associated with what will be a wet work-week period for the Plains states, to the point where severe weather will be common and locally heavy rain will fall in enough quantities to stall the winter wheat harvest.

Rain chances are back into the western Corn Belt forecast for Thursday and in parts of the eastern Corn Belt for Friday, but I do not view those rains as very big; except for southwestern parts of the region, most amounts may end up as a half inch or less. I see no sign whatsoever of a return to the flooding conditions that dominated much of the Midwest in the first half of this month.

Today through Thursday is a cooler-than-normal period for the Midwest, with highs in the 70s to around 80 looking to be common. More normal temperatures arrive for late this week and into next week.