Humans vs. AI

Human opinion

vs AI's opinion

The outlook for the UK wheat market in 2023 is mixed. On the one hand, there are some positive factors that could support prices, such as:
  • A strong winter cropping season, with reports pointing to the potential for good winter grain yields.
  • A decline in the spring barley area, which could lead to increased demand for wheat.
  • A continued global wheat deficit, due to factors such as the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the drought in the US.

On the other hand, there are also some negative factors that could weigh on prices, such as:

  • A bearish price outlook for global grains, due to ample supply.
  • Negative economic sentiment, which could dampen demand for wheat.
  • The potential for further disruptions to global wheat trade, due to the conflict in Ukraine.

Overall, the outlook for the UK wheat market in 2023 is uncertain. Prices could be supported by strong production and a decline in the spring barley area, but they could also be weighed down by a bearish global price outlook and negative economic sentiment. The impact of the conflict in Ukraine on global wheat trade will also be a key factor to watch.

The markets are up and down

I can't make head nor tail of it. If only Dave was here to guide me ...

Down yesterday, back up tonight

Dave could paint too

Dave painted in oils, watercolours and he also drew with pastels.

This is one of his pictures that I have at home, his signature says it was painted in 1993.
It was on display at my house in Park Avenue and now I've reclaimed it from storage for my study.

Dave would have been 60 today

Here he is as a baby, with his Gran Hilda, probably in a caravan in Rhyl

We all miss him

You love Everton more than me

Dave loved football esp the Everton team of the mid 80s, Big Nev in goal, Ratters and Mountfield, Bracewell, Tricky Trev and Inchy, Sharpy and the brilliant Andy Gray up front.

Old joke:

Wife: sometimes I think you love Everton more than you love me?

Husband: don’t be daft, I love Liverpool more than I love you!

l-r me, Dave, and Neil

A potted history of Noggers Blog

This week is Dave's birthday week. He would have been 60 this coming Friday, March 26th.

I think way back in 2009 he was starting to think about blogging and market data. Over a cup of tea at my house in Knaresborough, he said to me "Mike, could you write a program to do x?". "x" means collating market data from various sources and make that available. I thought about it and said "yeah probably".

Dave was also keen to try out using my iMac to record some videos; so I think we did his first demo to camera (the iMac) in my small study.

Noggers Blog changed utterly from there. The first version was written in VB, the next in Visual Sudio C#, the third in an automation tool. The current version runs in that there cloud. 

Dave was a pioneer in blogging; he worked hard at it and he played hard too ;-) I think the pinnacle of his success was in the 2011-2015 era when he had his own spot with Bloomberg, he loved that. 

A few years ago after he passed away I had a bash at writing an Amazon Alexa skill that broadcast the contents of the rude Dog's Blog, sadly it was banned by Amazon. Dave would have chuckled at that.

What's really amazes is how we used it still is in the trade. I recently added Google Analytics to the blog and here is a snapshot of today's users. There are folks all over the world who use it.

Dave would be very proud of that - all from a conversation over a cup of tea (he brought the milk). 


Dave as a boy

My word, this is me (left) and Dave (right) taken on the doorsteps of our boyhood home in Toxteth, L8.

Even to this day I worry about his hand getting caught in the door.

The cheeky grin stuck with him all his life. For the record my suit was for a navy captain and Dave's was a cowboy ;-)